Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.012886 0.014526 0.016188 0.017993 0.019891 0.021823 0.023934
2025-05-04 0.009491 0.011979 0.014629 0.017630 0.020905 0.024347 0.028215
2025-05-11 0.007755 0.010702 0.013961 0.017762 0.022011 0.026564 0.031763
2025-05-18 0.006327 0.009545 0.013235 0.017652 0.022692 0.028178 0.034526
2025-05-25 0.005053 0.008400 0.012385 0.017280 0.022972 0.029258 0.036613
2025-06-01 0.004122 0.007559 0.011801 0.017134 0.023439 0.030486 0.038808
2025-06-08 0.003277 0.006720 0.011141 0.016832 0.023670 0.031399 0.040607
2025-06-15 0.002700 0.006168 0.010785 0.016853 0.024241 0.032670 0.042782
2025-06-22 0.002084 0.005470 0.010184 0.016525 0.024363 0.033394 0.044307
2025-06-29 0.001502 0.004725 0.009457 0.015992 0.024199 0.033756 0.045390
2025-07-06 0.000949 0.003892 0.008534 0.015154 0.023622 0.033598 0.045844
2025-07-13 0.000759 0.003676 0.008468 0.015416 0.024386 0.035015 0.048113
2025-07-20 0.000469 0.003190 0.008005 0.015186 0.024599 0.035854 0.049812
2025-07-27 0.000228 0.002675 0.007456 0.014827 0.024651 0.036517 0.051332
2025-08-03 0.000117 0.002413 0.007274 0.014950 0.025300 0.037885 0.053668
2025-08-10 0.000033 0.002089 0.006950 0.014849 0.025643 0.038868 0.055537
2025-08-17 NaN 0.001713 0.006481 0.014507 0.025652 0.039428 0.056889
2025-08-24 NaN 0.001447 0.006169 0.014374 0.025918 0.040291 0.058592
2025-08-31 NaN 0.001166 0.005779 0.014096 0.025976 0.040884 0.059962
2025-09-07 NaN 0.000999 0.005594 0.014115 0.026421 0.041951 0.061895
2025-09-14 NaN 0.000771 0.005218 0.013815 0.026420 0.042449 0.063133
2025-09-21 NaN 0.000535 0.004745 0.013328 0.026142 0.042585 0.063918
2025-09-28 NaN 0.000297 0.004132 0.012562 0.025451 0.042177 0.064025